Opportunity Detail

Within-venue parity mismatch on kalshi

Mutually exclusive/exhaustive sum is 0.1050, deviation -0.8950

highmonitorwithin_venue_parity

Trade instructions

Buy the underpriced parity basket on Kalshi.

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Priority score100

Fee-adjusted edge0.895

Estimated size0

Time alive2h

First edge0.625

Latest edge0.760

Max edge seen0.760

Decay 10s0.000

Decay 60s-

Decay 300s-

First detectedMar 28, 3:18 AM

Last detectedMar 28, 7:24 AM

Canonical event keykalshi:KXMLBHR-26MAR282040DETSD

Linked records

Context

Primary marketManny Machado: 2+ home runs?

Secondary marketManny Machado: 1+ home runs?

Match record-

Raw details

{ "group_key": "kalshi:KXMLBHR-26MAR282040DETSD:binary:home-machado-manny-runs", "edge_samples": [ { "ts": "2026-03-28T05:43:52.077299+00:00", "edge": "0.76000000" }, { "ts": "2026-03-28T05:44:02.077361+00:00", "edge": "0.76000000" }, { "ts": "2026-03-28T05:44:12.077106+00:00", "edge": "0.76000000" }, { "ts": "2026-03-28T05:44:22.077337+00:00", "edge": "0.76000000" }, { "ts": "2026-03-28T05:44:32.079887+00:00", "edge": "0.76000000" } ], "market_titles": [ "Manny Machado: 2+ home runs?", "Manny Machado: 1+ home runs?" ], "probability_sum": "0.10500000", "deviation_from_one": "-0.89500000" }