PX/1
Predexon // Trade Surface

cross-venue prediction market intelligence

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Opportunity Detail

Ladder inconsistency on polymarket

monotonicity break between strikes 2027 and 2027; prices 0.0025 -> 0.2450

mediumclosedladder_consistency

Trade instructions

Fade the over ladder kink between 2027 and 2027.

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Priority score100
Fee-adjusted edge0.242
Estimated size71358
Time alive17m
First edge0.242
Latest edge0.242
Max edge seen0.242
Decay 10s0.000
Decay 60s0.000
Decay 300s-
First detectedMar 28, 3:18 AM
Last detectedMar 28, 3:27 AM
Canonical event keyborne-election-french-lisabeth-presidential-win

Linked records

Context

Match record-
Raw details

{ "reason": "monotonicity break", "direction": "over", "group_key": "polymarket:april-france-results-first:total:according-achieves-advance-ambiguity:over", "left_price": "0.00250000", "left_strike": "2027", "right_price": "0.24500000", "edge_samples": [ { "ts": "2026-03-28T03:34:12.082291+00:00", "edge": "0.24250000" }, { "ts": "2026-03-28T03:34:22.081721+00:00", "edge": "0.24250000" }, { "ts": "2026-03-28T03:34:32.077430+00:00", "edge": "0.24250000" }, { "ts": "2026-03-28T03:34:42.077170+00:00", "edge": "0.24250000" }, { "ts": "2026-03-28T03:34:52.077133+00:00", "edge": "0.24250000" }, { "ts": "2026-03-28T03:35:02.080433+00:00", "edge": "0.24250000" }, { "ts": "2026-03-28T03:35:12.078539+00:00", "edge": "0.24250000" }, { "ts": "2026-03-28T03:35:22.077341+00:00", "edge": "0.24250000" }, { "ts": "2026-03-28T03:35:32.077398+00:00", "edge": "0.24250000" }, { "ts": "2026-03-28T03:35:42.077514+00:00", "edge": "0.24250000" }, { "ts": "2026-03-28T03:35:52.078583+00:00", "edge": "0.24250000" }, { "ts": "2026-03-28T03:36:02.083285+00:00", "edge": "0.24250000" }, { "ts": "2026-03-28T03:36:12.077313+00:00", "edge": "0.24250000" } ], "right_strike": "2027" }