Opportunity Detail

Within-venue parity mismatch on kalshi

Mutually exclusive/exhaustive sum is 0.1400, deviation -0.8600

highmonitorwithin_venue_parity

Trade instructions

Buy the underpriced parity basket on Kalshi.

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Priority score100

Fee-adjusted edge0.860

Estimated size0

Time alive2h

First edge0.825

Latest edge0.825

Max edge seen0.825

Decay 10s0.000

Decay 60s-

Decay 300s-

First detectedMar 28, 3:35 AM

Last detectedMar 28, 7:24 AM

Canonical event keykalshi:KXMLBHR-26MAR282040DETSD

Linked records

Context

Primary marketJavier Báez: 2+ home runs?

Secondary marketJavier Báez: 1+ home runs?

Match record-

Raw details

{ "group_key": "kalshi:KXMLBHR-26MAR282040DETSD:binary:ez-home-javier-runs", "edge_samples": [ { "ts": "2026-03-28T05:43:52.077299+00:00", "edge": "0.82500000" }, { "ts": "2026-03-28T05:44:02.077361+00:00", "edge": "0.82500000" }, { "ts": "2026-03-28T05:44:12.077106+00:00", "edge": "0.82500000" }, { "ts": "2026-03-28T05:44:22.077337+00:00", "edge": "0.82500000" }, { "ts": "2026-03-28T05:44:32.079887+00:00", "edge": "0.82500000" } ], "market_titles": [ "Javier Báez: 2+ home runs?", "Javier Báez: 1+ home runs?" ], "probability_sum": "0.14000000", "deviation_from_one": "-0.86000000" }