Opportunity Detail

Within-venue parity mismatch on kalshi

Mutually exclusive/exhaustive sum is 0.6650, deviation -0.3350

highmonitorwithin_venue_parity

Trade instructions

Buy the underpriced parity basket on Kalshi.

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Priority score54.4

Fee-adjusted edge0.335

Estimated size0

Time alive2h

First edge0.140

Latest edge0.140

Max edge seen0.140

Decay 10s0.000

Decay 60s-

Decay 300s-

First detectedMar 28, 3:44 AM

Last detectedMar 28, 7:24 AM

Canonical event keykalshi:KXMLBHIT-26MAR281420WSHCHC

Linked records

Context

Primary marketJames Wood: 3+ hits?

Secondary marketJames Wood: 2+ hits?

Match record-

Raw details

{ "group_key": "kalshi:KXMLBHIT-26MAR281420WSHCHC:binary:hits-james-wood", "edge_samples": [ { "ts": "2026-03-28T05:43:52.077299+00:00", "edge": "0.14000000" }, { "ts": "2026-03-28T05:44:02.077361+00:00", "edge": "0.14000000" }, { "ts": "2026-03-28T05:44:12.077106+00:00", "edge": "0.14000000" }, { "ts": "2026-03-28T05:44:22.077337+00:00", "edge": "0.14000000" }, { "ts": "2026-03-28T05:44:32.079887+00:00", "edge": "0.14000000" } ], "market_titles": [ "James Wood: 3+ hits?", "James Wood: 2+ hits?", "James Wood: 1+ hits?" ], "probability_sum": "0.66500000", "deviation_from_one": "-0.33500000" }