Opportunity Detail
Within-venue parity mismatch on kalshi
Mutually exclusive/exhaustive sum is 0.7150, deviation -0.2850
Trade instructions
Buy the underpriced parity basket on Kalshi.
Linked records
Context
{ "group_key": "kalshi:KXMLBHIT-26MAR281610BOSCIN:binary:ceddanne-hits-rafaela", "edge_samples": [ { "ts": "2026-03-28T05:43:52.077299+00:00", "edge": "0.09000000" }, { "ts": "2026-03-28T05:44:02.077361+00:00", "edge": "0.09000000" }, { "ts": "2026-03-28T05:44:12.077106+00:00", "edge": "0.09000000" }, { "ts": "2026-03-28T05:44:22.077337+00:00", "edge": "0.09000000" }, { "ts": "2026-03-28T05:44:32.079887+00:00", "edge": "0.09000000" } ], "market_titles": [ "Ceddanne Rafaela: 3+ hits?", "Ceddanne Rafaela: 2+ hits?", "Ceddanne Rafaela: 1+ hits?" ], "probability_sum": "0.71500000", "deviation_from_one": "-0.28500000" }