Opportunity Detail

Within-venue parity mismatch on kalshi

Mutually exclusive/exhaustive sum is 0.7500, deviation -0.2500

highmonitorwithin_venue_parity

Trade instructions

Buy the underpriced parity basket on Kalshi.

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Priority score38.3

Fee-adjusted edge0.250

Estimated size0

Time alive1h

First edge0.105

Latest edge0.105

Max edge seen0.105

Decay 10s0.000

Decay 60s-

Decay 300s-

First detectedMar 28, 3:54 AM

Last detectedMar 28, 7:24 AM

Canonical event keykalshi:KXMLBHIT-26MAR281910CWSMIL

Linked records

Context

Primary marketSal Frelick: 3+ hits?

Secondary marketSal Frelick: 2+ hits?

Match record-

Raw details

{ "group_key": "kalshi:KXMLBHIT-26MAR281910CWSMIL:binary:frelick-hits-sal", "edge_samples": [ { "ts": "2026-03-28T05:43:52.077299+00:00", "edge": "0.10500000" }, { "ts": "2026-03-28T05:44:02.077361+00:00", "edge": "0.10500000" }, { "ts": "2026-03-28T05:44:12.077106+00:00", "edge": "0.10500000" }, { "ts": "2026-03-28T05:44:22.077337+00:00", "edge": "0.10500000" }, { "ts": "2026-03-28T05:44:32.079887+00:00", "edge": "0.10500000" } ], "market_titles": [ "Sal Frelick: 3+ hits?", "Sal Frelick: 2+ hits?", "Sal Frelick: 1+ hits?" ], "probability_sum": "0.75000000", "deviation_from_one": "-0.25000000" }