Opportunity Detail

Within-venue parity mismatch on kalshi

Mutually exclusive/exhaustive sum is 0.7800, deviation -0.2200

highmonitorwithin_venue_parity

Trade instructions

Buy the underpriced parity basket on Kalshi.

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Priority score26.8

Fee-adjusted edge0.220

Estimated size0

Time alive1h

First edge0.080

Latest edge0.080

Max edge seen0.080

Decay 10s0.000

Decay 60s-

Decay 300s-

First detectedMar 28, 3:54 AM

Last detectedMar 28, 7:14 AM

Canonical event keykalshi:KXMLBHIT-26MAR281910CWSMIL

Linked records

Context

Primary marketBrice Turang: 3+ hits?

Secondary marketBrice Turang: 2+ hits?

Match record-

Raw details

{ "group_key": "kalshi:KXMLBHIT-26MAR281910CWSMIL:binary:brice-hits-turang", "edge_samples": [ { "ts": "2026-03-28T05:43:52.077299+00:00", "edge": "0.08000000" }, { "ts": "2026-03-28T05:44:02.077361+00:00", "edge": "0.08000000" }, { "ts": "2026-03-28T05:44:12.077106+00:00", "edge": "0.08000000" }, { "ts": "2026-03-28T05:44:22.077337+00:00", "edge": "0.08000000" }, { "ts": "2026-03-28T05:44:32.079887+00:00", "edge": "0.08000000" } ], "market_titles": [ "Brice Turang: 3+ hits?", "Brice Turang: 2+ hits?", "Brice Turang: 1+ hits?" ], "probability_sum": "0.78000000", "deviation_from_one": "-0.22000000" }