Opportunity Detail

Within-venue parity mismatch on kalshi

Mutually exclusive/exhaustive sum is 0.9700, deviation -0.0300

lowlow_confidencewithin_venue_parity

Trade instructions

Buy the underpriced parity basket on Kalshi.

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Priority score0

Fee-adjusted edge0.030

Estimated size0

Time alive1h

First edge0.030

Latest edge0.030

Max edge seen0.030

Decay 10s0.000

Decay 60s-

Decay 300s-

First detectedMar 28, 3:54 AM

Last detectedMar 28, 4:04 AM

Canonical event keykalshi:KXCS2GAME-26MAR28HASTNC

Linked records

Context

Primary marketWill TNC win the Hashiras vs. TNC CS2 match?

Secondary marketWill Hashiras win the Hashiras vs. TNC CS2 match?

Match record-

Raw details

{ "group_key": "kalshi:KXCS2GAME-26MAR28HASTNC:binary:cs2-hashiras-match-tnc-win", "edge_samples": [ { "ts": "2026-03-28T05:43:52.077299+00:00", "edge": "0.03000000" }, { "ts": "2026-03-28T05:44:02.077361+00:00", "edge": "0.03000000" }, { "ts": "2026-03-28T05:44:12.077106+00:00", "edge": "0.03000000" }, { "ts": "2026-03-28T05:44:22.077337+00:00", "edge": "0.03000000" }, { "ts": "2026-03-28T05:44:32.079887+00:00", "edge": "0.03000000" } ], "market_titles": [ "Will TNC win the Hashiras vs. TNC CS2 match?", "Will Hashiras win the Hashiras vs. TNC CS2 match?" ], "probability_sum": "0.97000000", "deviation_from_one": "-0.03000000" }